{"v":1,"id":"sahm-rule","t":"Sahm Rule Recession Indicator","st":"3-month average unemployment rate minus its low of the prior 12 months","f":"m","dp":2,"u":"%","inv":true,"zero":true,"s":"1949-03","m":[1.1,1.4333,1.9,2.3,2.7667,2.8667,2.9333,3.3333,3.2,3.1333,2.4667,2.1667,1.7333,1.1667,0.4,-0.3,-0.2667,-0.3333,-0.3333,-0.2667,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.1667,-0.2667,-0.3,-0.2,-0.1333,-0.0667,0.0,0.0333,0.0667,0.2,0.3333,0.2667,0.1667,0.0333,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.0333,0.0333,0.1333,0.2667,0.3,0.2333,0.0333,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.0667,0.2,0.3667,0.6333,1.1667,1.7667,2.3333,2.7333,3.0667,3.3,3.2667,3.2333,3.2,3.2333,3.0333,2.5333,1.6333,0.7667,0.0,-0.1333,-0.0667,-0.1333,-0.1333,-0.2333,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.1,0.1,0.1333,0.0333,-0.0667,0.0,0.0,0.1333,0.1667,0.3,0.2333,0.1,-0.0667,0.0667,0.1667,0.2667,0.1333,-0.0333,-0.1,0.0667,0.2667,0.3667,0.3667,0.4,0.5,0.8333,1.1,1.5333,1.9667,2.4667,3.0,3.2667,3.2667,3.2,3.2,3.1,2.7333,2.0,1.4333,0.7667,0.2333,-0.2,-0.2667,-0.2667,-0.2,-0.0333,0.0333,0.2,0.4,0.6,0.5333,0.3667,0.0333,0.0667,0.0667,0.1667,0.1667,0.2667,0.4,0.4333,0.6333,0.8,1.1667,1.3333,1.6,1.6667,1.8,1.7667,1.7667,1.6667,1.3333,1.2333,0.8667,0.5333,-0.0667,-0.2333,-0.2,-0.1333,-0.0667,0.0,-0.0333,-0.0667,0.0667,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.0667,0.1667,0.2333,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2667,0.2333,0.0,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.1,0.1,0.1333,0.0333,0.0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.1333,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.0667,0.0,-0.0333,-0.0667,0.1,0.0,-0.0333,-0.1667,-0.0333,-0.1333,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.0667,0.0333,0.0333,0.0333,0.0,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0667,0.0333,0.1,0.1667,0.1667,0.1333,0.1333,0.1667,0.1667,0.1667,0.1333,0.2,0.2333,0.2,0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.1,0.0,0.0667,0.0667,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.0333,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0333,0.0667,0.1,0.1667,0.2333,0.2333,0.1667,0.2333,0.4667,0.7667,1.0,1.2,1.3333,1.4333,1.5,1.6,1.7667,2.0333,2.2667,2.3333,2.1,1.7667,1.5333,1.3333,1.1333,1.0333,1.0,0.8667,0.6333,0.3333,0.1,0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0333,0.0,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0667,0.0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2333,-0.1,-0.1,0.0333,0.0,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0667,0.0,0.0333,0.2,0.3333,0.4,0.4,0.3667,0.4667,0.6,0.7333,0.9,1.0667,1.4333,1.8333,2.3667,2.7333,3.1667,3.4,3.7,3.6667,3.4667,3.1333,2.8333,2.6,2.2,1.7,0.8333,0.1333,-0.2,-0.0667,-0.1,0.0,0.0333,0.1667,0.1667,0.1333,0.1333,0.2,0.1333,0.0667,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.2,-0.0667,-0.1,0.0,-0.1333,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.1333,-0.1333,-0.1667,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1333,0.0333,0.0,0.0333,-0.1,0.0,0.0,0.0333,0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.1333,0.2,0.3,0.2667,0.3,0.4,0.5333,0.6333,0.8333,1.2333,1.6667,1.9667,1.9,1.8,1.6333,1.5667,1.4333,1.3333,1.1667,1.1333,0.8333,0.4667,0.0667,0.0667,0.0333,0.0667,0.3,0.6,0.9,1.1333,1.3333,1.5,1.7333,1.8667,2.0667,2.2333,2.3667,2.5,2.4667,2.5,2.4333,2.2,1.8667,1.5333,1.2333,0.9667,0.7,0.2667,-0.0667,-0.3,-0.2,-0.3333,-0.3,-0.2667,-0.2333,-0.1667,-0.1,-0.1333,-0.2,-0.0667,0.0333,0.0667,0.0333,-0.0667,0.0,-0.0333,0.0,-0.0333,0.0,0.0,0.0667,0.1,0.0667,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.1333,0.0667,0.1333,0.2667,0.2667,0.2667,0.2333,0.1333,0.0667,0.0667,0.0667,-0.0667,-0.1333,-0.1,0.0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1333,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.0333,0.0,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.1,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.1,-0.0333,0.0,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.0667,0.0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1333,0.2,0.2333,0.2667,0.2333,0.1667,0.1667,0.2,0.1,0.1333,0.2333,0.4667,0.5667,0.7,0.8333,1.0,1.1333,1.3,1.4,1.4667,1.5,1.5,1.4,1.1667,1.1,0.9667,0.9667,0.9,0.9,0.7667,0.7,0.6667,0.7667,0.8333,0.8333,0.7667,0.5667,0.4667,0.2667,0.1667,-0.0667,-0.1333,-0.0667,0.0,0.0,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0667,0.0,0.0,-0.0667,-0.1667,-0.1333,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.1333,-0.1333,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0333,0.0667,0.1333,0.2,0.1667,0.2,0.2,0.1333,0.1,0.1,0.1333,0.1,0.0667,0.0,0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.1667,-0.0333,-0.1,0.1,0.1667,0.2,0.1333,0.0667,0.0,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0333,0.0,0.0,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.0667,0.0667,0.1,0.1333,0.1333,0.1,0.0333,-0.0333,0.0,-0.0667,0.0,-0.0667,0.0333,0.0333,0.0333,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0333,0.0,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0333,0.0,0.0667,0.1,0.0667,0.0333,-0.0333,0.0,0.1,0.2,0.3333,0.4,0.4333,0.5,0.5667,0.7667,0.9333,1.1667,1.3667,1.6,1.6333,1.6,1.4667,1.4667,1.4667,1.4333,1.3333,1.1,0.9,0.6333,0.5,0.3667,0.2667,0.2,0.1667,0.2333,0.3,0.4333,0.5,0.5,0.4333,0.3667,0.2,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.0667,0.0333,0.0,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0667,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.0667,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0667,0.0,0.0,0.0333,0.0,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.0667,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0333,0.0,0.0333,0.0,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.0333,0.0667,0.0667,0.0667,0.0333,0.0,0.0667,0.1333,0.2,0.2333,0.2333,0.2667,0.3667,0.4667,0.5333,0.5667,0.5667,0.7333,0.8333,1.0333,1.2,1.3333,1.5667,1.7667,2.0667,2.4,2.8333,3.2667,3.6667,3.8667,3.9667,3.8667,3.7,3.6333,3.5667,3.4333,3.0667,2.5667,2.0333,1.5667,1.2,0.7667,0.3333,0.0,-0.0333,0.0333,0.0333,0.1333,0.0667,-0.0333,-0.2667,-0.1,0.0,0.0,0.0333,0.0,0.0,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.1333,-0.1667,-0.1667,-0.1,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.0,0.0,-0.0333,-0.1333,-0.1333,-0.1333,0.0333,0.1,0.1,-0.0333,-0.1333,-0.0667,0.0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.1667,-0.2,-0.0667,0.0,-0.1333,-0.1333,-0.2,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.1667,-0.1,-0.1,0.0,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.1,0.0333,0.0,-0.0667,-0.1667,-0.1,-0.0667,0.0,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0667,0.0,0.1,0.0667,0.0333,-0.0667,0.0333,0.0667,0.1,0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.1,-0.1,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.0,0.0,-0.0333,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.0,-0.1,0.0,-0.0667,0.0,-0.1,0.0,0.0,0.0667,0.1333,0.1333,0.1,0.0,-0.0667,-0.0667,0.0,0.0,-0.0333,-0.0333,0.0,0.0333,0.0333,0.0,0.2667,4.0,7.2333,9.4333,7.9,6.3,5.2333,4.1333,3.5667,3.2,3.0333,2.8667,2.4,-0.1,-0.1333,-0.0667,-0.2333,-0.2333,-0.4,-0.3,-0.3333,-0.2667,-0.1667,-0.0667,-0.0667,-0.1,-0.1,-0.0333,-0.0667,0.0,-0.0333,0.0333,0.0333,0.0333,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.0333,0.0,0.0333,0.0667,0.1,0.1333,0.2667,0.2667,0.3,0.2333,0.3,0.3333,0.4,0.4,0.4333,0.5,0.5667,0.5333,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.3667,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3333,0.2333,0.1667,0.1333,0.2333,null,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.2667,0.2,0.1333,0.1,0.0667,-0.0333,-0.0667,0.0],"src":"BLS","fred":["UNRATE"],"vlab":"Points above 12-month low","rec":[["1948-12","1949-10"],["1953-08","1954-05"],["1957-09","1958-04"],["1960-05","1961-02"],["1970-01","1970-11"],["1973-12","1975-03"],["1980-02","1980-07"],["1981-08","1982-11"],["1990-08","1991-03"],["2001-04","2001-11"],["2008-01","2009-06"],["2020-03","2020-04"]],"updated":"2026-11-01"}